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US crop production forecast shows mixed outlook for 2025-2026

USDA reports slight rise in sugarcane and steady corn and soybean production amid challenging winter weather and drought conditions.

Tilling Dry Field Pixabay

The United States Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released its February 2026 Crop Production report, providing updated forecasts and insights on a wide range of U.S. crops for 2025 and projections for 2026.

While sugarcane production is forecast to rise slightly to 35.9 million tons, up 1 percent from January and 4 percent from last season, the report highlights significant activity across other key crops. Corn for grain remains a major staple, with harvested acreage estimated at around 81 million acres and production expected to remain robust. Soybeans continue to be a vital oilseed crop, with harvested acreage near 90 million acres and steady production forecasts.

Winter wheat conditions vary regionally, with some northern states experiencing stress due to cold temperatures and drought, while others maintain good to excellent ratings. Barley, oats, sorghum, and rice also feature in the report, reflecting diverse planting and yield expectations.

The report notes that January weather brought a mix of severe winter storms and cold snaps across much of the country, impacting winter grains and cover crops. Drought conditions persist in parts of the Deep South and Western states, affecting pastures and non-irrigated crops, while some regions in the Great Lakes and Northeast saw improved moisture.

Fruit and nut production estimates for 2025-2026 include apples, blueberries, cherries, and almonds, among others, with varying outlooks based on regional weather and growing conditions.

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