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Mercaris Releases U.S. Organic Commodities Outlook Report

Report anticipates growth in demand for corn, soybeans and wheat

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Mercaris, a market data service and online trading platform for organic, non-GMO, and certified agricultural commodities, debuts its new Organic Commodities Outlook.

In this forward-looking report, Mercaris captures the unique market dynamics that influence domestic organic production and import activity for corn, soybeans and wheat.

Overall, the Mercaris report anticipates growth in demand for all three organic commodities. The report, however, also delves into the unique economic drivers for each individual market and forecasts supply and demand through the 2018/19 marketing year.

Corn

Organic corn production is estimated at 42.3 million bushels, or 2% growth, for the 2018/19 crop marketing year.

In addition, whole and cracked corn imports are projected to increase 10% year-over-year.

Growth in organic livestock feed demand, however, and slower growth in organic corn silage production mean overall corn supplies will likely remain in line with overall demand.

Soybeans

Organic soybean production, the report found, expanded 13% year over year for 2018/19, but total soybean supplies are expected to contract 4% due to lower U.S. organic soybean imports.

At the same time, soybean meal imports are expected to expand 11%, as the supply of U.S. organic soybean meal is increasingly reliant on imports.

As a result, Mercaris expects a 35% increase in year-over-year soybean meal imports.

Improving yields pushed up wheat production which reached record levels in 2018/19, achieving 8% year over year growth.

Wheat

Organic wheat livestock feed is expected to climb 7% year over year, the report also noted.

Organic wheat livestock feed use is expected to climb 7% from the prior year. Even with elevated feed demand, the supply of organic wheat for food use and residual is expected to increase 4%.

“As we often see, demand for these three top organic commodities continues to grow,” said Ryan Koory, senior economist, Mercaris. “Organic livestock remains the industry's primary growth driver; however, each commodity faces unique production and trade dynamics. As a result, keeping up with organic markets will require keeping an eye on a variety of moving parts over the 2018/19 marketing year.”

Mercaris’ market data provides up-to-date, accurate information about organic and non-GMO commodities, delivering improved visibility over market conditions and better enabling industry professionals to make critical business decisions.

To access the full report, please visit mercaris.com and sign-up for an account.

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