Major wheat-producing countries are expected to harvest larger crops in the 2025/26 marketing year, according to the latest USDA World Agricultural Production report released this month.
Australia's wheat production is forecast at 34.5 million metric tons, up 11 percent from last month and reaching the third highest level on record. The increase is supported by improved growing conditions and timely precipitation during the growing season. Yield is forecast at 2.72 metric tons per hectare, up 10 percent from last month and 4 percent from last year.
"The beginning of the season started out very dry, especially in Western Australia where approximately 27 percent of the entire wheat crop is grown," the report noted. "Beneficial rain fell in early June which was enough to get the dry-sown crops to emerge."
Russia's wheat production is estimated at 85.0 million metric tons, up 2 percent from last month and 4 percent from last year. The estimate includes 61.5 million tons of winter wheat and 23.5 million tons of spring wheat. Russia's yield is estimated at a record 3.21 tons per hectare, up 3 percent from last month and 9 percent from last year.
Canada's wheat production is estimated at 36.0 million metric tons, up 3 percent from last month but nearly unchanged from last year. The report cited "variable growing conditions" across the Canadian Prairies, with yield-improving rains in some areas while continued hot and dry conditions limited crop development in others.
Harvest is already underway in Russia and Canada, while Australia's wheat harvest typically begins in October and continues into January.
