Grains gave back most of Friday’s gains in the overnight session. Currently corn is down 6, soybeans off 8 and Chicago wheat is down 7 cents. Technical support on December corn sits at 3.46 ¾ while looking at the soybean daily chart, support would not be expected until 10.02.
Russian what prices have rose for the last two weeks following record exports during the month of august. Strong domestic demand and a weakening Russian Rouble have also contributed to prices strengthening. This will be a supportive story moving forward if Russian domestic prices can find a bottom. The U.S. market has been pressured throughout harvest by the price and demand for Black Sea wheat.
By mid-week, some heavy precipitation of about 1-2 inches should develop primarily over Iowa, Southern Minnesota and Wisconsin. Other Midwest states like Michigan, Indiana, Illinois and Missouri should also receive some rain although to a lesser degree expecting between .25-1 inches of rain. The risk of frost damage is still very low this week although the best chance for a frost will be Saturday morning.
Informa Economics released its latest expectations of the USDA crop report forecast last Friday. Their corn expectations are for a yield of 170.3 bushels per acre which compares to their August estimate of 168. Informa’s soybean yield estimate was for 46.1 bushels per acre compared to 44.5 bushels per acre estimated in August.