In Hawaii, the summer trade wind regime, which favors dryness on the lee sides of the islands, favors persistence of the existing drought areas in the state. Forecast confidence for Hawaii is moderate.
Abnormal dryness has persisted across south-central Alaska for several months. Streamflows across the Kenai Peninsula region in particular have continued to decline. Therefore, drought development across Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula is possible during the upcoming three month period. Forecast confidence for Alaska is low to moderate.