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Weekly Cash Comments

Cash Comments for week of 30 January 2015

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The futures market slide 12 ¼ cents for soybeans and 8 ½ cents for corn but despite the sharp slide in prices, basis remained for the most part steady increasing only a penny for soybeans and 1 ½ cents for corn.

Basis along the river declined more than the rest of the U.S. declining an average of 2 cents despite barge rates declining across all five major river regions. Basis along the gulf slipped 4 cents over the last week helping explain the relative weakness along the river. Soybean basis along the river held steady in the face of declining futures prices, improving 1 ¼ cents this week. Soybeans moved by barge over the past week was down 35 percent below the same week in 2014. Year to date barge movement of soybeans is 174,000 tons behind where we were at this time last year, while corn moved by barge is ahead of last year’s pace by 143,000 tons.

Ethanol basis was in line with the national average increasing 1 ¾ cents on average across the U.S., while soybean plant basis only improved ¾ of a cent over the past week. Ethanol production continues to maintain above forecasted production up 5.6 percent over the year compared to a USDA forecasted increase of only .8 percent. Strong DDG prices have helped support crush margins as ethanol values have declined over the last month.

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