August 14, 2014 | Grain Hedge Insights | Cody Bills | Views: 316

Soybeans Push Lower in the Overnight

Soybeans broke through key support yesterday opening the door to further losses in the days to come.

Soybeans Push Lower in the Overnight

Grains are unchanged in the overnight session, with corn down a quarter cent, soybeans up a penny, and wheat up half a penny.

Export sales were slightly weaker than analyst expectations for wheat this morning with only 338,700 metric tons sold compared to the 450,000 to 650,000 MT expected. Wheat sales were down 43 percent from the previous week. Corn sales were also light on the old crop with only 117,100 metric tons sold but performed well for new crop, booking 787,800 metric tons for delivery in 14/15. Soybean sales continue to be positive, with 61,400 metric tons in the old crop and 1,050,000 metric tons in the new crop. Old crop soybean sales continue to show strength, posting positive sales without cancelations. Soymeal, however, did post net reductions of 31,700 metric tons of old crop, which was a marketing year low.

November soybean futures traded lower in the overnight session before rebounding into the morning trade break.Yesterday marked an important technical move for the contract as prices closed below $10.55 for the first time. This was a price level that acted as support on both July 22nd and August 4th, and bearish signal opens the door to another move lower. Considering the 15 million bushel surprise on Tuesday, it is our opinion that undersold producers should put on some downside protection on any bounce we can find.

Looking at the weather forecast, the western Corn Belt remains the area of concern. Friday into Saturday there is a good chance to see between 0.5 and 2.0 inches of rain across South Dakota, Nebraska, and Iowa. The 6-10 day forecast projects above average precipitation for the grain belt and slightly above average temperatures for the central and eastern grain belt.

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