Grains traded mixed one day before the September supply and demand report. Today we discuss ethanol production and trade expectations for the USDA report.
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More precipitation is expected across much of the grain belt this week with
Grains gave back most of Friday’s gains in the overnight session. Currently corn is down 6, soybeans off 8 and Chicago wheat is down 7 cents. Technical support on December corn sits at 3.46 ¾ while looking at the soybean daily chart, support would not be expected until 10.02.
Russian what prices have rose for the last two weeks following record exports during the month of august. Strong domestic demand and a weakening Russian Rouble have also contributed to prices strengthening. This will be a supportive story moving forward if Russian domestic prices can find a bottom. The U.S. market has been pressured throughout harvest by the price and demand for Black Sea wheat.
By mid-week, some heavy precipitation of about 1-2 inches should develop primarily over Iowa, Southern Minnesota and Wisconsin. Other Midwest states like Michigan, Indiana, Illinois and Missouri should also receive some rain although to a lesser degree expecting between .25-1 inches of rain. The risk of frost damage is still very low this week although the best chance for a frost will be Saturday morning.
Informa Economics released its latest expectations of the USDA crop report forecast last Friday. Their corn expectations are for a yield of 170.3 bushels per acre which compares to their August estimate of 168. Informa’s soybean yield estimate was for 46.1 bushels per acre compared to 44.5 bushels per acre estimated in August.
In the overnight session corn soybeans and wheat were mostly unchanged to slightly higher. Yesterday’s export inspections were positive for corn and soybeans which both beat analyst expectations. Soybeans recorded 1.5 million metric tons inspected for export which beat the high side of...
In the overnight corn is trading 2 3/4 pennies lower, soybeans is down 2 3/4 cents and wheat is up 1/2 a penny after closing last week near one month lows. This weekend the Korea Feed association purchased 110,000 metric tons of corn from optional origin.
Soybean futures continued to erode this week giving up 14 cents a bushel while corn found modest strength in a 3 cent advance. In the cash market, basis movements were fairly muted this week with US average corn basis gaining 1 cent a bushel while soybeans added 2 cents to the US average...
In the overnight, soybeans and wheat traded lower slipping 5 ¾ and 5 ¾ cents respectively, while corn stayed mostly unchanged increasing by ¼ cent. The export sales report was very supportive for corn, neutral for wheat and bearish for soybeans which missed analyst expectations by a...