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September 21, 2018 | Grain Hedge Insights | Kevin McNew | Views: 398

NAFTA Deal by End of the Month Remains Distant

Following meetings between Canadian and U.S. trade officials, the two sides are far from a deal

NAFTA Deal by End of the Month Remains Distant

NAFTA Deal By End of Month Remains Distant

After agreeing to update the NAFTA agreement between the U.S. and Mexico, President Trump gave Canada until the end of September to negotiate and sign off on a trilateral deal. Following meetings between Canadian and U.S. trade officials, it appears the two sides are far from a deal. Canada remains insistent on removing any threat of U.S. tariffs on Canadian automobiles, something that President Trump wishes to keep. Canada’s largest private sector union spoke yesterday that ensuring that car tariffs are off the table is a dealbreaker for the Canadians.

Export Sales Announcements

Export sales of 121,700 metric tons of corn for delivery to unknown destinations for delivery during the 2018/2019 marketing year; and, Export sales of 100,000 metric tons of soybean cake and meal for delivery to unknown destinations for delivery during the 2018/2019 marketing year.

Soybeans Rally Off 10-Year Low On Strong Export Demand, Little Producer Selling

Yesterday, Nov soybeans gained 20.25 cents during the trading session to settle at $8.5025. The contract is up 1.6% on the week, making this the largest weekly increase in five weeks. The USDA reported export sales for soybeans at 917,600 MT, well above trade expectations. US origin beans remain very attractive for countries like the Netherlands and Argentina to import to crush into meal and oil or to export again to China. Nov beans gave up some ground in the overnight session, dropping around 7 cents.

Soybean Planting in Brazil Off to a Good Start, Weather Remains Favorable

Planting for soybeans in the Brazilian state of Parana are off to the fastest start in five years, pegged at 9% complete, in comparison to only 1% this time last year. The earliest planted soybeans could be harvested as early as the first week of January, if not sooner, and will largely be destined for export to China, where strong premiums for the oilseed exist. Furthermore, early planted soybeans in turn mean an early planting for second crop corn, or safrinha, which represents nearly ⅔ of Brazilian corn production. Last year’s safrinha crop saw delayed planting and poor growing conditions due to drought.

 

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