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Grains Turn Higher Overnight

Outside markets are also reversing course

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Grains turned higher overnight and finished the morning trade solidly higher. Outside markets were also reversing course from the two-day hammering they took post-Brexit.

On Monday after the close, USDA’s crop progress report showed the US corn crop holding firm at 75% good-to-excellent, unchanged from last week, while soybean conditions slipped to 72% this week versus 73% last week. Winter wheat harvest was speeding along with 45% of the crop cut versus 25% last week.

In overnight news, Egypt said they had enough wheat in their strategic reserves to last until January 2017 and that they have bought 5 MMT from local farmers, more than the 4 MMT they expected to get this season.

For weather, the 6 to 15 day has trended warmer, with mid 90s or better mainly focusing on the Plains, Delta, and southwest Midwest. Some models are looking for 100s late in the 6 to 10 day into the heart of the corn belt but other models don't. Longer-term forecasts out a month show warm weather in the corn belt, with the biggest risks in the northeast 1/3 of the belt.

U.S. stock index futures rose sharply on Tuesday as investors rushed to pick up Brexit-hit stocks after Wall Street crumbled under fear and uncertainty to its worst two-day fall in 10 months. Crude oil was also up sharply trying to recover from steep losses while the US dollar reversed course to trade lower.

The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. Grain Hedge is a Branch of Foremost Trading LLC (NFA ID: 0307930)

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