Market Action
- Grains mixed in the overnight session.
- Strong buying in the grain complex could have been amplified by funds “window dressing” at the end of the month.
- Exporters sell 120,000 MT of Soybeans for delivery to China of which 60,000 MT is for 2017/2018 marketing year delivery, 60,000 MT for 2018/2019 delivery. -USDA
- Exporters sell 126,000 MT of Soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations of which 63,000 MT is for 2017/2018 delivery, 63,000 MT is for 2018/2019 delivery. -USDA
Argentina
- Weather forecast expects dryness to remain dominant into next week for major production regions. Some light precipitation possible starting in the south and moving north Sunday into Monday.
- Recent model suggests increased rainfall starting next Thursday and continuing into the following Monday in southern and central Argentina.
Brazil
- Unchanged forecast; frequent showers are expected to slow fieldwork.
- Tues and Wed will provide opportunities for fieldwork in southern Brazil.
- Conditions are dry in southern Rio Grande do Sul.
RFS Meeting at White House Today 12 CST
- Pres. Trump called another meeting at White House for today to discuss RFS.
- Meeting includes representatives from oil and corn industries along with key Senators.
- Discussion may include options such as exports to count as biofuel credits and for E15 to be sold year-round.
Ethanol
- Ethanol production slipped to 1.044 million barrels per day from 1.068 MBPD LW.
- Ethanol production was above LY same week production by 1 percent.
- Jan, Feb ethanol production has only run .5 percent ahead of LY pace which is a decline from the Sep-Dec period that produced 4.3 percent more ethanol than the same period LY.
- Ethanol stocks increased to 965 million gallons from 956 million gallons LW.
- Ethanol stocks are now below LY levels for the first time this marketing year, however still near record highs.
Export Sales
- Corn and soybean export sales strongly beat analyst expectations, improving over last week.
- Wheat sales disappointed analysts falling 42 percent from last week.
Weekly Export Sales-
Actual |
Estimated |
|
Wheat |
191 |
200-500 |
Corn |
1,753 |
1,000-1,400 |
Soybeans |
857 |
400-700 |
The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. Grain Hedge is a Branch of Foremost Trading LLC (NFA ID: 0307930)